nba

Zach Lowe On DeMar DeRozan, Kyle Lowry And The Toronto Raptors - NBA

As DeMar DeRozan finished practice on Dec. 19, he noticed one Toronto Raptors higher-up after another -- Bobby Webster, the team's GM, and its three highest-ranked coaches -- file into team president Masai Ujiri's office. Then someone summoned him.

"I didn't know what the hell was going on," DeRozan recalls. "I thought, 'S---, I know I can't be traded.' It was like I was being called into the principal's office.'"

It was clear by then that Toronto had reinvented its offense after too many playoff stagnations. They had one more hurdle.

DeRozan, a proud native of Compton, California, grew up idolizing Kobe Bryant. The Lakers had retired Bryant's two jersey numbers the night before. DeRozan had surely watched. Ujiri told DeRozan he could be Toronto's Kobe -- a lifetime player who defines a franchise and, maybe, brings it championship glory. But to get there -- to push this live-wire Toronto team to its full potential -- DeRozan had to start shooting more 3-pointers.

Everyone in the room knew how much work DeRozan had put in to be ready for this moment. He was officially dabbling with the 3-pointer, about 2.5 attempts per game, but he had tried zero or one in six of 10 games. They needed more. Just taking them, coaches said, would draw attention and give everyone else more space. It would spare DeRozan contact. Possessions would flow more naturally.

They empowered DeRozan because they knew he was prepared. "When everyone has that kind of confidence in you -- that you can carry a franchise -- it gives you that extra confidence," DeRozan says. "For them to say I could be in [Kobe's] position -- it was an honor accepting that fully."

The next night against Charlotte, DeRozan went 3-of-4 from deep. Two nights later in Philly, he drained 6-of-9 -- a performance so stunning, the shots flying off his fingertips so fast, you had to check to make sure it was actually DeMar DeRozan, king of the midrange.

"I wanted to jump out of my seat watching," says Chris Farr, DeRozan's longtime trainer, who has watched DeRozan launch thousands of 3-pointers in summer workouts. "He has worked so hard. I always say, he's not Beyonce. He didn't wake up looking like this."

DeRozan has jacked almost four 3s per game since -- off pindowns and random cuts he never executed before, in transition, when guys duck under picks, even from a standstill.

It was the final step of Toronto's evolution into the best team in franchise history. They have surged past Boston and Cleveland, and by any metric, they are closer peers to the Western Conference superteams than to anyone in the East. They are the only team ranked in the top five in both points scored and allowed per possession.

Cleveland is vulnerable, though Kevin Love's return will help. Boston is without Gordon Hayward until further notice. The Raptors are real. They have home-court. If their revamped offense carries into the playoffs, they will deserve "favorite" status in the East.

This week's highlights include a brand-new superstar, shots of entitlement and Dame's dominance.

Zach talks to ESPN's Kevin Arnovitz about the Eastern Conference playoff race, the Sixers threat, Washington without John Wall, the evolving Heat, and more.

The legacy of the pioneering Croatian and Nets guard -- his skill, his fight, his joy -- still runs through the NBA and Europe.

2 Related

They are getting better as the season goes along. They know it, too. They feel it. They are comfortable in their own skin, and hungry. They have the same sense playing you do watching: That they've figured out something profound about themselves. That something special might be happening.

The team that almost tanked four seasons ago is ready.

"We've been through the heartaches and the letdowns," DeRozan says. "This time, with this new approach, we feel comfortable."

The new approach started the day after another postseason humiliation, when Ujiri promised a "culture reset." No one knew precisely what he meant. "I still don't really know," jokes Kyle Lowry, the symbol -- along with DeRozan -- of a star-driven offense that sputtered in April and May.

Ujiri didn't fire anyone, even though he had the political capital to do anything he wanted. He re-signed Lowry and Serge Ibaka. The "culture reset" was a mandate for stylistic change: Our offense doesn't work in the playoffs. Change it. The subtext was obvious: If we don't, more drastic changes will come.

Change was the goal when the Raptors hired Nick Nurse, an offensive guru from the (then) D-League, in the summer of 2013. Nurse came in for an interview, and on an office whiteboard drew the offense he envisioned: different starting points, reads, passes, options. "The framework of what we are doing now," Nurse says, "was up on that board."

Dwane Casey, the team's head coach, liked Nurse's ideas. For various reasons, they never made it onto the court for long. Perhaps no one felt enough urgency until Cleveland swept them and Ujiri spoke out.

"We were working so hard," says Jakob Poeltl, Toronto's precocious backup center, "for not very good shots."

Nurse started with the young guys -- Poeltl, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell, OG Anunoby, Delon Wright, Fred VanVleet -- at informal workouts in Los Angeles, and then in Las Vegas for summer league. As James Herbert of CBS Sports detailed, they played pickup with new rules: Corner 3s earned four points, and any shot between the paint and the 3-point arc counted as minus-1. Nurse strongly encouraged anyone who grabbed an offensive rebound to dunk or kick the ball out to a 3-point shooter, though he did not mandate it as he had during his time in Houston's D-League lab. (Back then, he banned midrange shots in practice.)

Players passed up good shots for great ones. They stretched their playmaking skills, and that was the point: When opponents keyed on DeRozan and Lowry, these guys -- these unknown kiddos -- would have to do something. So would Ibaka and Valanciunas, behemoth screen-setters who froze outside the paint. Touching it more might invigorate other parts of their games, and inspire more focused effort on defense.

Selling DeRozan and Lowry might prove harder. "Go to any superstar and say, 'We're changing our offense, and we're taking some of your minutes away,'" Casey says. "So many would look at you sideways and tell you to take a leap."

DeRozan was diligent, but it wasn't easy at first. Lowry verbalized his frustration early in the season. "They were a little resistant at times, to be honest," Nurse says. "Even still, Kyle has these moments when he's kicking out passes, and guys are missing, and he's getting pissed."

But they saw it working, and surrendered some control. DeRozan got better at the random, improvisational bobs and weaves the offense requires. The results are inarguable: Toronto ranks third in points per possession, jacking almost nine more 3s per game than last season. They're only a so-so shooting team -- it is their most worrisome weakness -- but trading 2s for 3s increases their margin for error.

Toronto has assisted on 58 percent of its baskets, up from a league-low 47 percent last season, per NBA.com. They are throwing almost 30 more passes per game without any uptick in turnovers.

They are unpredictable, harder to grasp. Casey has mothballed a lot of set plays. Toronto pushes hard, and initiates semi-random screening action with 18 or 19 on the shot clock. Everyone else orbits the ball in patterns that fall somewhere between random and scripted. They have general rules, but riff -- cut backdoor or fly toward the arc? -- within them.

Everyone is free to launch 3s and drive. Even Ibaka, who once played as if dribbling were illegal, is attacking with a new decisiveness. "We don't want Serge taking a 20-footer," Nurse says. "We want him to put pressure on the rim. We want him to make the next play."

"Before, when I put the ball on the floor, it was over," Ibaka says. "I had trouble. But here, if you lose the ball or commit a charge, the players still give you the ball. The coaches encourage you."

Valanciunas is delivering almost twice as many handoffs per 100 possessions this season, according to Second Spectrum tracking data. He's 25-of-56 from deep after attempting four career triples before -- a dinosaur who fought extinction. "This offense," Valanciunas says, "has made my life better."

And the bench. Holy hell, the bench. They absorbed the offense early, and never looked back. Casey's bench mob du jour -- VanVleet, Wright, Siakam, Poeltl and C.J. Miles -- has outscored opponents by 25 points per 100 possessions, the best mark among all 114 lineups that have logged at least 100 minutes, per NBA.com.

VanVleet has been a revelation -- a brute on defense who has hit 39 percent from 3 and shimmies past defenders one-on-one. There aren't many veteran frontcourts with the collective IQ -- on both ends -- of Poeltl and Siakam. There may not be a single player anywhere who runs the floor harder than Siakam. He is racking up assists. Siakim is a reliable jumper away from being an archetypal, switch-everything playmaking power forward:

The bench led the culture change. The starters followed. If players slip into old habits, the coaches have a remedy: Starting this season, they mostly replaced individual player development with group work. Instead of shooting alone, three or four guys rehearse sequences they execute in games. It's working. The team is discovering new wrinkles every week.

Semi-random "split" cuts like this just weren't in Toronto's bag last season:

DeRozan used to stand still on the wing. "He hangs out here a lot," Nurse says, using a salt shaker to represent DeRozan. "He can hang there some. But I want him to hang here, too." He moves the salt shaker to the corner.

Shifting positions isn't just about hunting shots. It forces the defense to reshape itself, to make decisions, and sometimes those decisions leave gaps for DeRozan's teammates. Highlight dunks are nice. Toronto's coaches derive more satisfaction from DeRozan skulking five feet sideways into a pocket of space:

"It's something I'm going to continue to get better at," DeRozan says. "That's the beauty of this game: you grow."

"He's getting there," Nurse says. "I mean, he did literally no cutting before."

Shooting 3s instead of overthinking has made the game easier for DeRozan. Every decision is faster. Passes and drives arise organically, and DeRozan sees them earlier. He is dishing a career-best five dimes per game.

The reset seems to have enlivened everyone. Valanciunas is beasting in the post; he has hit 57 percent on post-up shots, 10th among 110 players who have finished at least 50 such plays, per NBA.com. The Raptors have scored 1.27 points per possession on any trip featuring a Valanciunas post up, another top-10 mark, according to Second Spectrum.

He is playing the best defense of his life. Valanciunas is still mostly a paint-bound plodder. That won't change much. He has refined the subtleties -- footwork, timing, arm positioning. He won't extinguish every fire like Rudy Gobert, but he no longer starts as many.

Poeltl has been even better on that end -- quicker, with balletic feet and a veteran's feel:

All of this presents Casey with a postseason dilemma. He goes 10 deep, sometimes 11, and plays a traditional center almost every minute. That sounds like the opposite of playoff basketball. Rotations shrink in the playoffs. Teams struggle to generate spacing, and downsize; questioning Valanciunas' starter status has become one of Toronto's rites of spring, along with losing Game 1s.

It seemed a fait accompli that their crunch-time playoff lineup would feature Ibaka at center, Anunoby at power forward, and a rotating fifth guy alongside DeRozan and Lowry. We will see that at some point, but Casey plans to stick with what's working.

He trusts his centers. He thinks the offense runs better with them. "They are such good screeners," he says. "They help our motion. We aren't as discombobulated."

He is delightfully adamant about the playoff utility of a full bench. "I'm still looking for the manual that says you have to play eight guys," he says. "Until someone shows me otherwise, we gotta be who we are."

Three months ago, uncertainty about Toronto's closing five seemed like a weakness. Now it seems like a strength. Improved defense and shooting have made Valanciunas a viable closer. He will still have trouble when Cleveland surrounds LeBron with four shooters -- i.e., Love at center -- but who else can place that kind of stress on him? Perhaps Milwaukee, a potential first-round foe, if the Bucks get religion and slide Giannis Antetokounmpo to center.

Other stretch centers -- Al Horford, Kelly Olynyk, Joel Embiid, Markieff Morris when Washington goes that route -- aren't quite stretchy enough to justify benching an engaged, mauling Valanciunas. Some play with so-so shooting wings Valanciunas can hide on, as he did in guarding P.J. Tucker during Toronto's streak-buster over Houston on Friday. Even with Valanciunas on the floor, the Raptors can often switch across three positions.

VanVleet and Wright have thrived in crunch time. Anunoby has been shaky from deep over the past two months, but he's a cool, steady sort. Toronto can even try Miles at power forward. They have blitzed opponents by 12 points per 100 possessions when they play Siakam and Ibaka together, at power forward and center.

None of it will matter if Toronto reverts on offense. "One thing we know: Going to Kyle and DeMar over and over didn't work in the playoffs," Casey says.

There is an interesting dissonance in how the Raptors talk about the playoffs. They acknowledge that they have failed, but reject the idea that they are failures.

"The last couple of years, we lost to a champion and a [NBA] Finals team," Casey says. "I bristle when people say we are failures." Lowry looked like himself in Games 1 and 2 against Cleveland before suffering an ankle injury.

"I haven't played the best," Lowry says, "but when I have great games in the playoffs, no one says anything. Nothing."

The worst-case scenario is that dissonance translating into a prideful attempt by Lowry and DeRozan to win the old way. They've resorted to hero ball late in close games; Toronto has been a bottom-10 crunch-time offense all season.

"Is [the new offense] gonna translate into the playoffs?" Casey asks. "We're gonna find out."

The league is respectful, yet skeptical. "We take that disrespect," DeRozan says, "and carry it into games."

Potential playoff opponents don't fear the Raptors as they would a typical No. 1 seed. They need to see it before they believe it. The Raptors know they will be judged on postseason performance.

"That's all I hear is 'playoffs, playoffs, playoffs,'" Lowry says. "People only look at what happened before. You just have to have thick skin."

Things will get harder. An engaged LeBron, playing 44 minutes, has ruled the East since 2010-11. If Cleveland falls into the 4-5 bracket, Toronto could meet them earlier than expected. Philly, Milwaukee and Washington loom as dangerous underdogs with star power.

Offenses will pick on the DeRozan-Valanciunas combo in the pick-and-roll. Defenses will take an extra step away from Siakam, Wright, Anunoby, even Ibaka, clogging driving lanes -- and inviting Toronto's bad shooters to fire. They'll dare DeRozan, too; he's still shooting just 32 percent from deep. The bench will face more opposing starters. Casey will have to adjust early, not late. The two stars, wobbly in playoffs past, have to maintain their normal shooting percentages.

One unproven guy might quake. If it's Anunoby, who guards LeBron in a potential Cleveland-Toronto rematch? If that job falls to Siakam, what if he can't hit shots? If they lose Game 1 again, they'll face all the same scrutiny.

Another playoff flameout would raise questions about whether it is worth it to keep going with this core -- especially if LeBron stays in the East after this season.

But this looks sustainable. It looks, sounds, feels different. There is hope that they've turned the corner in crunch time. They held on against Houston. DeRozan trusting VanVleet to drain a game-winner in Detroit last week felt like a landmark moment -- proof of evolution.

"This time around," DeRozan says, "it's coming together."

Cleveland Cavaliers Vs. Phoenix Suns: Odds, Analysis, NBA Betting Pick

David Zalubowski/Associated Press

The Cleveland Cavaliers (38-28) will try to snap a two-game losing streak Tuesday when they visit the Phoenix Suns (19-49) as road favorites.

The Cavaliers dropped two games in Los Angeles over the weekend by a combined 28 points, while the Suns will be looking to break a five-game skid.

                

NBA point spread: The Cavaliers opened as seven-point favorites; the total is at 230, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NBA betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 113.2-106.7, Cavaliers (NBA picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week's top sports betting news.

               

Why the Cavaliers can cover the spread

The pressure is starting to mount for Cleveland, with the team slipping behind the Indiana Pacers in the Central Division following its latest loss to the Lakers on Sunday.

The Cavaliers trail the Pacers by a half-game for the division lead, falling to the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference as well, and the four teams directly below them are all within 2.5 games.

This is the time for LeBron James to step up as a leader, as Cleveland has won the past five meetings with Phoenix, covering two of the last three.

             

Why the Suns can cover the spread

As bad as the Suns have been this season, they have still covered the spread in three straight games against the Cavaliers at home dating back to 2015, according to the OddsShark NBA Database.

Matt York/Associated Press

One of those was even a 107-100 victory three years ago, and the other two were losses decided by four points apiece.

Another close matchup here would lead to another cover, and Phoenix will finally be back home after a four-game road trip that saw the team go 0-4 straight up and 2-2 against the spread.

              

Smart betting pick

You can bet James will take out his frustrations on a Suns team that has gone just 9-24 SU and 12-20-1 ATS at home this year.

Cleveland does own a losing record on the road at 16-17 SU and 14-19 ATS, but winning away from home will ultimately determine if James can earn another championship there.

While this is hardly a tune-up for the playoffs, the Cavaliers will blow out Phoenix in this spot, winning by double digits to easily cover the spread.

           

NBA betting trends

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.

Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games on the road.

Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last five games at home.

              

All NBA odds and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report's official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

NBA DFS For March 13: Best DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks

Before you enter a daily fantasy basketball tournament for NBA action Tuesday, you need to hear what professional DFS player Mike McClure has to say. McClure has more than $1 million in career DFS winnings and is rolling through the NBA season, already cashing multiple tournament and cash game rosters.

He has been able to do all that thanks to some spot-on picks.

On Monday, McClure locked in Bucks guard Eric Bledsoe at $7,500 on FanDuel. The result: Bledsoe stuffed the stat sheet with 14 points, six rebounds, five assists and two steals -- returning over 30 DFS points in the process. 

For Tuesday's slate, McClure is all over Timberwolves forward Nemanja Bjelica, who is $5,800 on FanDuel and $6,200 on DraftKings.

Bjelica has put up huge numbers in multiple categories in his last couple outings. He scored 30 points against Boston last week and then followed that up with a strong performance against the Warriors over the weekend where he put up 10 points, seven rebounds and multiple assists, steals and blocks. The DFS points were rolling in from everywhere. 

He gets another opportunity to put up big numbers tonight in what is expected to be a fast-paced matchup against the Washington Wizards. 

If you roster Bjelica, you'll have plenty of cap room for a big-time scorer like Nuggets guard Gary Harris, who is $6,500 on FanDuel and $6,600 on DraftKings. 

Harris has scored at least 18 points in six of his last seven games and can return multiple assists and rebounds on any night as well. He's also a threat to hit four or five from beyond the arc, and he has a great chance to do that this evening against a shaky Lakers defense that gives up over 110 points per game. 

McClure is also targeting a breakout player who has been producing massive numbers recently and has a dream matchup tonight. The stars are aligning for him to go for 40, even 50 DFS points tonight, and he comes at an affordable price. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. 

So who is DFS pro Mike McClure putting in his optimal DFS lineup for Tuesday? Visit SportsLine now to see the full NBA optimal tournament lineup for Tuesday from a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings and cashed multiple tournament rosters this season.